Thursday 30 June 2011

Trade ideas for 1st July, 2011



US/Europe up strongly at 3 PM London time. Looks like the markets are on thier way to wipe the total 7 weeks of loss in one week !!!

I will not be able to put up the performance and price points tomorrow. Hopefully I will get some time during the weekend.

Please check back here on Sunday for Friday's performance and Monday's price points.

Thanks.

Performance for 30th June, 2011




Total earning for one week or from 24th June (the day positions were changed to Rs. 200,000/- per share adjusted to accomodate gaps) is Rs. 34876.90.




Total SENSEX points captured 712 !!




One down day !!

Tuesday 28 June 2011

Trade ideas for 29th June, 2011



When trading, never have an opinion. The market is always right !

Performance for 28th June, 2011



Market whipsawed all day. As they say, never short a dull market.....there is the loss !!

Monday 27 June 2011

Trade ideas for 28th June, 2011



I will not be able to post prices for Monday the 4th July, this Friday, as will be at the golf course all day !!

Performance of 27th June, 2011




The entry points are after 15 mins of market open. And most exit are either at close or the 30 mins rule explained earlier is applied.


Using these price points, one does tend to buy at considerable higher or lower prices than what may be available during the day. However, consistency, particularly in stop loss levels makes the longer term return of this strategy positive. Any deviation from entry and stop loss prices may lead to skewed results, with some days' returns very high but some days' loss may also be higher leading to lower long term returns.

Friday 24 June 2011

Trade for 27th June, 2011 & entry/exit ideas.



In the last blog we have discussed how to manage the size. Here are some views I had posted in a discussion thread. We are discussing the LT & INFO trades on 22nd June.



Entry Point : If the price gaps up or down and is above or below the buying or selling target, the trade should be taken. . For entry, normally I would let the market trade for 15 mins without taking any trade. If the price is still above or below the target price, after 15 mins, I will enter the trade as close to the low as possible. Like in LT on 22nd June, it was possible to enter the trade somewhere below 1660.



Exit Point : Normally for my performance I take a price near the end of the day, but while looking at the chart, if I see a price point which was an obvious exit point, I will take that price. Normally, if a price has made a high and come down and is sitting below that high price for more than 30 mins, I will think of exiting the trade. I will see if it tries to break the top and fails after 30 mins, I take the trade off. But if it does break above that high before 30 mins,I would move my stop to just below the lowest of the range that was formed below the high.


The reason why exit points cannot be given before, is that price moves with momentum and the momentum decides whether it will go further up or down. And profits should be let to run as much as possible to take care of all the losses you make when stops are hit !!

Performance for 24th June, 2011






What a day !! I think anyone, even my 4 yr old son could have made money in these markets !!




From today, I have changed the quantity for each name. Rs. 200,000/- is fixed for each share, which is then divided by the buy or sell entry price to get the quantity. Based on this quantiy, the total possible loss at entry & stop loss point is calculated. But when the share gaps up (like today) or down, then the actual possible entry price and stop loss difference is considered and the quanity altered so that the total loss in case of getting stopped out remains the same.



For example in SBI, at the entry price given yesterday was Rs. 2,171/-, which would have allowed 92 shares to be bought to total Rs. 200,000/-. The total loss in case the trade was stopped out at Rs. 2,165/- would have been Rs. 552/-. However, as the price gapped in the morning and after 15 min started to break up, the entry price becomes Rs. 2,205/-. Therefore, to keep the total loss constant at Rs. 552/- if the trade gets stopped out at Rs. 2,165 the quantity of shares traded becomes only 13.

Tuesday 21 June 2011

Trade ideas for 22nd June, 2011



Performance of 21st June, 2011

Based on some feedback from visitors to this site, I have scaled the trade quantity based on the price. Shares with price less than Rs500/- trading quality 1000, Rs500/- to Rs1000/- trading quantity 500 and more than Rs 1000/- trading quantity 100.

Difficult day for trading, but managed decent profit !!

Monday 20 June 2011

Trade ideas for 21st June, 2011



Performance for 20th July, 2011









You can see even on a day where the Sensex lost 364 points, Bharti managed to go up !! And if the price point was respected, then one could have made money being bullish on this stock !!









Wednesday 15 June 2011

Sensex Phatka: Trades for 16th June 2011

Sensex Phatka: Trades for 16th June 2011: "SENSEX : Sell below 18111 with stops above 18182 Buy above 18182 with stops below 18111 RIL : Sell below 898 with stops above 902 Buy abo..."